Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 27.368111 31.592130 36.172669 41.498726 47.510802 54.076264 61.777783
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.181349 26.000119 32.927486 41.732749 52.572102 65.420456 81.738858
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 15.960292 22.452517 30.774289 42.109082 57.013612 75.796034 101.085033
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.170558 18.513513 27.189880 39.736556 57.188339 80.340697 113.058211
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 10.537961 17.116173 26.613572 41.038110 62.034959 91.058138 133.670436
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.493716 16.343952 26.715655 43.155342 68.040415 103.663211 157.681989
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.941164 14.503226 24.926138 42.165490 69.288199 109.465436 172.329387
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.502136 12.591407 22.729995 40.208487 68.749643 112.432113 182.840201
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.138187 12.453651 23.367637 42.803051 75.468983 126.737808 211.271527
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.014134 12.718458 24.692174 46.630263 84.441414 145.091952 247.069321
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.432122 12.030932 24.253955 47.360700 88.294589 155.524113 270.975360
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.795939 11.134439 23.317252 47.083924 90.356179 163.110945 290.679523
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.084947 10.009219 21.884162 45.885960 90.945310 168.701668 308.211866
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.589211 9.264246 21.106387 45.860918 93.693258 178.268179 333.293303
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.196776 8.676671 20.561248 46.212304 97.144799 189.280330 361.568506
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.613102 7.524589 18.666993 43.623412 94.749844 189.675227 371.244864
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.419395 7.288177 18.716575 45.034959 100.221752 204.679978 407.844567
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.305352 7.234535 19.165531 47.333491 107.635204 223.739564 452.901676
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.989390 6.577998 18.126153 46.258678 108.067685 229.631326 473.987941
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.660218 5.809768 16.700249 44.133207 106.084735 230.686948 485.987901
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.623773 5.889717 17.384621 46.950895 114.867882 253.368429 540.501988
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.648135 6.159829 18.586087 51.104434 126.858484 283.102049 610.151311
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.515731 5.912206 18.403173 51.896794 131.476173 298.233758 652.008158